Bashley vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
FLE
2 - 3
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
ATK
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BAS
4 - 2
LEA
46%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BRO
3 - 5
BAS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MET
3 - 3
CRO
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MET
4 - 0
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
MET
3 - 1
BAN
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LEA
2 - 1
MET
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HAS
3 - 0
MET
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |