Bashley vs Merthyr Tydfil FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
YAT
1 - 3
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HEM
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
CLE
1 - 5
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
GLO
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AND
3 - 2
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MER
2 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MER
4 - 1
BIS
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |