Bashley vs Melksham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
SLI
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
4 - 1
FRO
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
HAM
29%
21%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
BAS
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYM
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 2
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
LYM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
WUN
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
0 - 1
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |