Bashley vs Mangotsfield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 4
BRI
6%
16%
78%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
WAN
9 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 4
EVE
6%
16%
78%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 5
LAR
7%
14%
80%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CIN
6 - 0
BAS
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mangotsfield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 2
BIS
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 2
DID
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
TIV
1 - 3
MAN
28%
25%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 3
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |