Bashley vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 2
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HAL
3 - 2
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
CHI
55%
23%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 2
OXF
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BED
0 - 4
BAS
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
NUN
1 - 1
LEA
57%
23%
19%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LEA
5 - 0
TIV
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LEA
0 - 2
NUN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
STO
2 - 1
LEA
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
DID
4 - 2
LEA
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |