Bashley vs Larkhall Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
BRI
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 7
EVE
9%
19%
71%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
BAS
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
STR
6 - 0
BAS
86%
10%
5%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Larkhall Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
STR
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BIS
1 - 4
LAR
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
AFT
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
WIM
3 - 0
LAR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 3
LAR
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |