Bashley vs Hitchin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
STO
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 1
BAS
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BED
0 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HEM
8 - 2
HIT
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
HIT
0 - 3
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HIT
2 - 0
BED
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
HIT
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HIT
1 - 2
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |