Bashley vs Hillingdon Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
PAU
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BAS
7 - 0
WIN
75%
15%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 4
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Hillingdon Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
AFH
2 - 1
HIL
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
HIL
2 - 1
MIL
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
DID
2 - 2
HIL
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HIL
1 - 2
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BUR
4 - 3
HIL
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |