Non League Div One Isthmian Round 31

Bashley vs Dorking Wanderers analysis

Bashley Dorking Wanderers
34 ELO 28
3.6% Tilt 11.8%
11563º General ELO ranking 4303º
653º Country ELO ranking 121º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Bashley
19.2%
Draw
16.2%
Dorking Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Bashley
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.2%
Win probability
Dorking Wanderers
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-8%
+89%
Dorking Wanderers

ELO progression

Bashley
Dorking Wanderers
Metropolitan Police
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2005
BAS
Bashley
1 - 0
Fleet Town
FLE
74%
16%
10%
35 23 12 0
29 Jan. 2005
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Bashley
BAS
71%
18%
11%
34 60 26 +1
22 Jan. 2005
BAS
Bashley
1 - 5
Cray Wanderers
CRA
32%
24%
45%
36 44 8 -2
15 Jan. 2005
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
4 - 5
Bashley
BAS
48%
23%
29%
35 35 0 +1
08 Jan. 2005
BAS
Bashley
2 - 3
Walton & Hersham
WAL
51%
23%
26%
36 36 0 -1

Matches

Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2005
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
0 - 0
Croydon Athletic
CRO
46%
24%
31%
27 30 3 0
05 Feb. 2005
MOL
Molesey FC
0 - 1
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
43%
24%
34%
26 25 1 +1
29 Jan. 2005
CRO
Croydon
2 - 1
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
26%
23%
52%
27 19 8 -1
22 Jan. 2005
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
0 - 2
Ashford Town Kent
ATK
66%
19%
15%
29 23 6 -2
08 Jan. 2005
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
2 - 3
Horsham
HOR
35%
24%
41%
30 37 7 -1