Bashley vs Corby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 2
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
WHI
5 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
7 - 1
BAS
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
POO
14%
21%
65%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
WEY
1 - 0
COR
32%
23%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
COR
0 - 2
HEM
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
COR
4 - 2
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 0
COR
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
BIG
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |