Bashley vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STO
5 - 0
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 2
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HIT
2 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
LEA
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RED
2 - 3
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |