Bashley vs AFC Totton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SHO
3 - 0
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
STR
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 2
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CLE
3 - 1
BAS
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
BIS
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AFT
1 - 2
TAU
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CIN
4 - 0
AFT
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AFT
1 - 0
TIV
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AFT
0 - 2
SWI
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
AFT
68%
17%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |