Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 4
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
50%
22%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 2
GCZ
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 2
HSV
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SER
2 - 0
THU
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
THU
4 - 3
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
3 - 5
THU
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |