Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SIO
2 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
LAU
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
BAS
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
39%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
THU
2 - 2
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
THU
1 - 0
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |