Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ZUR
2 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 0
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
STG
0 - 7
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
THU
2 - 2
STG
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
THU
4 - 0
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
THU
2 - 2
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |