Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 0
LAC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
YOB
0 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
BAS
4 - 3
LAU
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
STG
1 - 0
LOC
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
STG
2 - 0
FCW
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
SIO
2 - 2
STG
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
STG
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |