Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 2
GCZ
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
STU
4 - 1
BAS
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 3
STG
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
STG
3 - 2
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
CSC
2 - 1
STG
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STG
6 - 0
YOB
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
NOB
2 - 4
STG
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |