Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
LAU
4 - 3
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
LAC
0 - 2
BAS
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 3
GCZ
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
STG
0 - 0
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
SER
3 - 2
FCA
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
LAC
0 - 4
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
SER
2 - 0
YOB
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
LAU
3 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |