Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 3
GCZ
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
BAS
21%
22%
58%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
THU
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 2
SCA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
21%
23%
55%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
STG
2 - 3
FCL
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |