Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
25%
23%
52%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
5 - 1
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
STG
1 - 3
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 4
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 0
GCZ
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
FCL
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 4
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCV
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |