Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
S04
2 - 0
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
38%
25%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
CHL
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCL
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |