Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
56%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 2
SIO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 3
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |