Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
DZG
0 - 0
BAS
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
GCZ
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 0
YOB
55%
22%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
REN
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 5
FCL
11%
17%
73%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
YOB
6 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |