Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
5 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
ASV
4 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
FCL
3 - 0
ZUR
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
LAU
3 - 2
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 3
STG
26%
25%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
27%
25%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |