Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
ASV
4 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASV
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2001 |
LUG
2 - 1
SHA
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
SER
1 - 0
LUG
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |