Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 5
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 4
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIO
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
LAU
1 - 0
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |