Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 6-2
Basel vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MTA
3 - 3
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LPL
0 - 1
LUD
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUD
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |