Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
4º
9º
4º
0
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
3 | 35 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 33 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 32 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 32 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 32 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 32 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 32 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 29 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 27 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 26 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
0 | 26 |
12º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
56.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
43.5% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 3
VIL
11%
18%
72%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
WIL
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
WIN
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
RAP
2 - 4
BAS
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 3
WHU
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
SIO
0 - 3
GCZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCV
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |