Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
STU
4 - 1
BAS
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 3
STU
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SIO
0 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
3 - 5
GCZ
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
NEX
0 - 0
GCZ
32%
24%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
GCZ
1 - 0
CSC
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
GCZ
8 - 0
VAL
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
YOB
2 - 0
GCZ
38%
23%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |