Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
5 - 1
NEX
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LAU
2 - 4
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 1
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SER
3 - 3
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |