Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
LUG
5 - 1
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
LAU
0 - 2
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 1
GCZ
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 4
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 2
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |