Basel vs CS Chênois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
LAU
0 - 3
BAS
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
4 - 1
YOB
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 0
GCZ
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CS Chênois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
CSC
4 - 2
LAC
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
SIO
2 - 1
CSC
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
CSC
3 - 0
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
CSC
2 - 2
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |