Basel vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIO
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
BAS
21%
22%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
23%
22%
55%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 0
BYM
8%
16%
77%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 0
KAI
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
STU
0 - 2
BYM
18%
21%
61%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
HSV
1 - 1
BYM
13%
19%
67%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 0
WOL
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |