Basel vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
49%
22%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
CSK
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GCZ
7 - 0
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 5
STG
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 7
YOB
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |