FC Basel II vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCZ
2 - 1
BAS
40%
23%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 0
MUN
67%
19%
15%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCG
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 2
BAS
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MUT
2 - 0
BAS
17%
19%
64%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCZ
3 - 2
THU
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WAN
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MUN
3 - 0
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
BAD
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |