Base Roses vs Palafolls analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base Roses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
BRS
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BRS
2 - 3
BSC
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 2
BRS
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BRS
3 - 0
COR
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRS
2 - 0
CAM
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palafolls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
ARO
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
PAL
61%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
CMP
59%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 3
PAL
41%
24%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
LES
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |