CD Basconia vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
GAL
1 - 2
BAS
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
BAS
3 - 0
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
CUL
1 - 2
BAS
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
SDA
2 - 1
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
BAS
2 - 1
RAY
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SDE
1 - 2
ARE
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
CDG
1 - 2
SDE
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
SDE
1 - 2
SSC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
SDE
4 - 1
LAR
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
SNT
0 - 2
SDE
66%
19%
16%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |