CD Basconia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAS
61%
19%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
BAS
5 - 0
PON
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
SLA
2 - 1
BAS
57%
21%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDO
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RSO
7 - 2
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAS
61%
19%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 0
RJA
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
SEV
1 - 1
RJA
43%
23%
34%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RJA
3 - 0
SFE
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |