CD Basconia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
GRA
3 - 3
BAS
44%
30%
26%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 1
UPL
61%
23%
15%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SPB
4 - 1
BAS
51%
29%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 0
ENS
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
BAS
0 - 0
CDO
45%
30%
25%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1977 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDG
69%
18%
12%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BAR
2 - 1
LUG
83%
14%
4%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
LUG
1 - 0
SSC
39%
30%
31%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
GER
2 - 1
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |