Tercera RFEF IV - País Vasco round 13

CD Basconia vs CD Lagun Onak analysis

CD Basconia CD Lagun Onak
40 ELO 36
6.6% Tilt -16.4%
5086º General ELO ranking 7570º
181º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
61.4%
CD Basconia
20.9%
Draw
17.7%
CD Lagun Onak

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
CD Basconia
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.7%
Win probability
CD Lagun Onak
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Basconia
+93%
-47%
CD Lagun Onak

Points and table prediction

CD Basconia
Their league position
CD Lagun Onak
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
42
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Basconia
76
76
100%
Portugalete
70
70
100%
Leioa
66
66
100%
Beasain KE
64
64
100%
Deusto
54
54
100%
Deportivo Alavés C
48
48
100%
CD Touring
48
48
100%
CD Derio
47
47
100%
Eibar C
46
46
100%
Aretxabaleta
10º
44
44
10º
100%
CD Lagun Onak
11º
42
42
11º
100%
San Ignacio
12º
42
42
12º
100%
SCD Durango
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Pasaia KE
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Santurtzi
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Urduliz FT
16º
36
36
16º
100%
CD Padura
17º
29
29
17º
100%
San Viator
18º
8
8
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Basconia
CD Lagun Onak
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Basconia
CD Lagun Onak
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Basconia
CD Basconia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
DAC
Deportivo Alavés C
1 - 2
CD Basconia
BAS
28%
23%
49%
38 26 12 0
17 Nov. 2024
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 0
CD Derio
CDD
70%
17%
13%
37 30 7 +1
09 Nov. 2024
SNT
Santurtzi
2 - 2
CD Basconia
BAS
21%
23%
56%
38 24 14 -1
02 Nov. 2024
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 3
Beasain KE
BEA
65%
19%
16%
38 34 4 0
26 Oct. 2024
PAS
Pasaia KE
1 - 0
CD Basconia
BAS
18%
23%
60%
40 26 14 -2

Matches

CD Lagun Onak
CD Lagun Onak
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
LON
CD Lagun Onak
0 - 0
Leioa
LEI
42%
25%
34%
37 37 0 0
17 Nov. 2024
ATX
Aretxabaleta
1 - 1
CD Lagun Onak
LON
41%
26%
34%
37 30 7 0
09 Nov. 2024
LON
CD Lagun Onak
2 - 0
San Viator
CSV
63%
21%
17%
37 26 11 0
01 Nov. 2024
POR
Portugalete
1 - 1
CD Lagun Onak
LON
59%
25%
16%
36 44 8 +1
26 Oct. 2024
LON
CD Lagun Onak
1 - 0
Eibar C
SDE
70%
17%
13%
36 18 18 0