CD Basconia vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
SFC
0 - 1
BAS
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
SES
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SNT
1 - 1
BAS
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 0
AMU
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LEI
0 - 2
BAS
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
ARE
53%
26%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 0
GER
36%
29%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GER
6 - 0
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |