CD Basconia vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 0
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
ELC
3 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 4
ARO
66%
24%
11%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
CAU
2 - 0
BAS
45%
31%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 1
RCF
48%
29%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
GER
5 - 0
CDG
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
LAR
0 - 1
GER
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BAR
6 - 1
GER
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
GER
0 - 0
SSC
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GER
1 - 0
CDO
28%
28%
43%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |