CD Basconia vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 0
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CDU
3 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
ASP
2 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
BAS
4 - 0
MUT
81%
13%
5%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ATX
2 - 1
BAS
30%
30%
40%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
CDU
1 - 0
ASP
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CDU
3 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
CAU
2 - 0
CDU
50%
27%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
CDU
4 - 0
AFT
82%
14%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
MUT
1 - 1
CDU
24%
29%
47%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |