Bascara A vs Vilabertran AE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bascara A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 4
ESP
68%
17%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
BAS
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 4
BOR
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 4
BAS
34%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vilabertran AE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEG
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
5 - 3
VIL
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
LLA
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 2
CAB
37%
23%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |