Basáñez vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUZ
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 0
BAS
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
8 - 1
ALT
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 3
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
HBU
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 0
CAN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 1
ALT
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 3
ROC
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
HBU
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |