Basáñez vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
CEL
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 0
BAS
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
FEN
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
DEP
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 1
CSC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BVS
4 - 0
ROC
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 0
CSM
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DAN
3 - 0
ROC
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |