Barwell vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEA
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 0
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
SWI
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
BED
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 3
SWI
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
CIR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WEY
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
OXF
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |