Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 28

Barton Rovers vs Welwyn Garden City analysis

Barton Rovers Welwyn Garden City
26 ELO 28
-7.2% Tilt 6.2%
9661º General ELO ranking 8413º
544º Country ELO ranking 437º
ELO win probability
31.9%
Barton Rovers
23.1%
Draw
45%
Welwyn Garden City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
Barton Rovers
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45%
Win probability
Welwyn Garden City
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barton Rovers
+46%
-2%
Welwyn Garden City

Points and table prediction

Barton Rovers
Their league position
Welwyn Garden City
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
16º
12º
54
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barton Rovers
Welwyn Garden City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barton Rovers
Welwyn Garden City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barton Rovers
Barton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
BAR
Barton Rovers
2 - 1
Ware
WAR
21%
20%
59%
23 32 9 0
27 Jan. 2024
KIN
Kings Langley
2 - 2
Barton Rovers
BAR
52%
22%
26%
24 26 2 -1
20 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barton Rovers
4 - 2
Aylesbury United
AYL
42%
23%
35%
23 22 1 +1
13 Jan. 2024
STO
Stotfold FC
1 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
60%
19%
21%
24 31 7 -1
06 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 1
North Leigh
NOR
15%
19%
66%
23 37 14 +1

Matches

Welwyn Garden City
Welwyn Garden City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
KEM
Kempston Rovers
1 - 2
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
16%
19%
66%
29 16 13 0
27 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
1 - 3
North Leigh
NOR
33%
22%
45%
31 37 6 -2
13 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
3 - 4
Thame United FC
THA
75%
15%
10%
32 21 11 -1
27 Dec. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 4
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
63%
19%
18%
30 36 6 +2
23 Dec. 2023
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
5 - 4
Ware
WAR
36%
22%
41%
30 33 3 0
X