Barry Town vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
PON
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
ERA
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
BAR
38%
25%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 4
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TAF
4 - 3
HAV
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
TAF
5 - 3
TON
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
TAF
4 - 0
BRI
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
BRY
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 3
TAF
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |