Barry Town vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
LID
3 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
NEA
3 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 0
GOY
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
TON
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 2
BAR
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NWP
0 - 0
MAE
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
BFC
0 - 3
NWP
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 0
BRI
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DIN
4 - 0
NWP
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 0
BRY
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |